PART THREE
Biden-Rice rules of the “ceasefire” con game The tactical approach to achieve the strategic goals is:
1) Give lip service to African Union mediation between the Government of Ethiopia and the terrorist TPLF.
2) Buy off African leaders to apply pressure on Ethiopia.
3) Use the AU as a weapon to pressure Ethiopia.
4) Seek observer and facilitator status during the ceasefire negotiations.
5) Offer to underwrite the entire negotiation process by pledging to commit funds.
Ceasefire is easier said than done
Biden (Susan Rice) talks about a ceasefire. But they are willfully clueless. With ceasefires, the devil is in the details, a fact that should be as clear as a day in hell to Susan Rice, the DUCHESS OF DARKNESS. Anyone who has studied ceasefires knows they are exceedingly complex processes with a near certain degree of failure.
The data is compelling. For instance, in Ukraine there were 4 ceasefires that led to new offensives. In Yemen, of 9 ceasefires 7 led to offensives. In Syria, out of 20 ceasefires, 19 led to new offensives. In South Sudan, between 2014 and 2020, there were numerous ceasefire agreements which failed leading to new offensives.
Biden and Susan Rice know full well the TPLF will honor no ceasefire agreements. Certainly, the Ethiopian Government knows as sure as the sun will rise tomorrow that for the TPLF agreement is not worth the paper it is written on.
Ceasefire agreements are a can of worms
Ceasefire negotiations and agreements are perilous and problematic issues. Ceasefires almost always fail because of complex issues related to
1) Command and control for ceasefire implementation;
2) Demobilization and disarmament of combatants;
3) Designation of independent monitors (agreement on which countries will supply monitors);
4) Rules of engagement;
5) Composition of verification teams;
6) Establishment of process for presenting breach of the agreement complaints;
7) Establishment of neutral and independent investigative bodies for breaches of ceasefire terms and conditions;
8) Modalities for the exchange of information by opposing forces on troop movement, training exercises and so on;
9) Integration of force elements from combatants; and
10) One-upmanship to take advantage of the each other’s political and military weaknesses, among others.
The fact of the matter is coming to a ceasefire agreement and implementing it will take many months (under the most idea circumstances), which will provide the TPLF an opportunity to rebuild its military capacity while handcuffing Ethiopia from taking action to eliminate the TPLF terrorist threat.
Let there be no mistake! The Biden administration is not interested in a ceasefire. It is interested in using ceasefire negotiations as a TROJAN HORSE to trick and bamboozle the Ethiopian Government into dropping its guard while allowing the terrorist TPLF to sneak into power stealthily.
It is interested in using a ceasefire to facilitate rebuilding and strengthening of the TPLF’s military might so that it can continue its terrorist war in Ethiopia until it is restored to power. The terrorist TPLF is not interested in negotiations. It is interested in using negotiations to buy time and destroy its opponents.
If there is a ceasefire, the TPLF will have to face the fire and fury of the people Tigray for the needless deaths of their children in a pointless war and the suffering they endured over the past 10 months!
I have demonstrated the TPLF’s 11 doctrines of “dialogue” and “negotiations” in my commentary, “Negotiating with the TPLF is Negotiating with the devil.” The fact of the matter is that the TPLF has always, always played zero-sum negotiation games. They must win negotiations 100 percent of the time. They sneer at good faith bargaining, negotiation, compromise and conciliation. Negotiation for the TPLF is about one-upmanship. It is about hoodwinking and crushing their adversaries.
Biden (Sleazy Suzie’s) Hail Mary pass with economic sanctions
Desperation is driving Biden’s (Susan Rice’s) policy in Ethiopia. Sleazy Suzie has run out of options. Sleazy Suzie has her man Friday Jeffrey Feltman running from the Emirates to Saudi Arabia to Djbouti and now to Turkey begging the leaders of these countries to pressure Ethiopia to negotiate with the TPLF terrorists. Nobody wants to talk to Feltman because everyone knows he is Sleazie Suzie’s gofer.
Sleazy Suzie is coordinating action in Congress to for a declaration of genocide. (Who gives a damn whether Biden declares genocide or not!) Biden and rice know they have crossed the red line on the green, yellow and red flag. That is what all the sanctions sound and fury is all about.
To paraphrase Shakespeare, Biden is… a walking shadow, a poor player who struts and frets his hour upon the world stage And then is heard no more: it is an economic sanction Issued against Ethiopia by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.
Sleazy Suzie has tried to use Biden to delegitimize the elections and PM Abiy’s leadership. It failed. Sleazy Suzie has tried to use the Western press-titutes to demonize and ostracize Ethiopia. It failed. Sleazy Suzie has tried to get the UN Security Council to sanction Ethiopia. She was laughed out of the hall. Sleazy Suzie has tried to bully, intimidate, threaten and harass the Ethiopian Government. It has failed miserably.
Now, Sleazy Suzie is threatening MOAS (Mother of All Sanctions).
